---
title: "Fed rate hike by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/fed-rate-hike-by
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-16T20:02:27+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3931307.71
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:00:46+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-rate-hike-by
---

# Fed rate hike by...?

Settled · $3,931,308 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**Yes** won. Settled 2026-09-16.

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".

Emergency rate hikes will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Other markets

- June Meeting — 2 outcomes
- April Meeting — 2 outcomes
- July Meeting — 2 outcomes
- October Meeting — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5124?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-rate-hike-by.

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