---
title: "Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/federal-capital-gains-taxes-be-cut-by-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 823.52
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:33:49+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/federal-capital-gains-taxes-be-cut-by-2026
---

# Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

Live · $824 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.

Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 6¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/235757?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/federal-capital-gains-taxes-be-cut-by-2026.

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