---
title: "Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/federico-coria-vs-taro-daniel
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-12T11:30:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-19T11:30:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-12T18:16:42+00:00
total_volume_usd: 104182.67
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:01:23+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/federico-coria-vs-taro-daniel
---

# Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-12 11:30 UTC · $104,183 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Taro Daniel** won. Settled 2026-07-12.

## About

This market covers a Swedish Open qualification-round tennis match between Federico Coria and Taro Daniel, scheduled for July 12, 2026. Polymarket resolves the headline market to whichever player advances, with tie, cancellation, or walkover scenarios splitting 50-50, using ATP Tour information as the primary source. Alongside the moneyline, both Polymarket and Azuro list a range of side markets covering game totals, set handicaps, and alternative spreads.

Daniel is the clear favourite to advance. Polymarket implies a 70.5% chance he wins the match, while Azuro prices him slightly shorter at 75.2% — a spread of roughly 4.7 points on the same outcome. Coria sits at 29.5% on Polymarket versus 33.2% on Azuro. On the totals side, Under 2.5 sets is favoured at 63.5% on Polymarket and 68.5% on Azuro, consistent with the market's expectation of a straightforward Daniel win.

Liquidity is concentrated on Polymarket ($40,496 posted, $729 traded), while Azuro shows no recorded volume despite offering the widest menu of derivative lines. The cross-platform takeaway: both venues agree Daniel is a solid favourite, but Azuro consistently prices him a few points shorter than Polymarket across the main and derived markets.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-12; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 20 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 13 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 3 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -4 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10 — 2 outcomes
- Game Spread — 3 outcomes
- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total Games — 3 outcomes
- Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/23184?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/25549?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/23846?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/federico-coria-vs-taro-daniel.

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