---
title: "Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/fetterman-leaves-the-democrats-before-the-midterms
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 30354.6
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:30:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fetterman-leaves-the-democrats-before-the-midterms
---

# Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?

Live · $30,355 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For purposes of this market, "Before the Midterms" is defined to mean by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. 

Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.

Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Before the Midterms

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 96¢ on Polymarket | 96¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 4.4¢ on Polymarket | 4.4¢ |

## Other markets

- Between Nov. 3 and Jan. 3 12PM — 2 outcomes
- December 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/73172?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fetterman-leaves-the-democrats-before-the-midterms.

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