---
title: "First snow of the 2026 season"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/first-snow-of-the-2026-season
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-04T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 21450.23
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:20:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/first-snow-of-the-2026-season
---

# First snow of the 2026 season

Live · $21,450 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records any snowfall, including trace, between market creation and the listed deadline, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The observation day is each station's National Weather Service climate day (midnight to midnight local time). Each market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as a report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as a report has been published for every day of its window. Because the final climate report for a day is issued the following morning, each market carries a resolution date 3 days after its deadline as an outer limit for that publication lag, not a waiting period: October 31, 2026 (by November 3, 2026); November 15, 2026 (by November 18, 2026); November 30, 2026 (by December 3, 2026).

Each market's resolution source is that city's NWS Daily Climate Report, linked in that market's details. Those pages show the latest report only; past daily reports for every city are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Indianapolis, IN by November 15

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 73% | 79¢ on Polymarket | 79¢ |
| No | 27% | 33¢ on Polymarket | 33¢ |

## Other markets

- Buffalo, NY by October 31 — 2 outcomes
- Denver, CO by October 31 — 2 outcomes
- Minneapolis, MN by October 31 — 2 outcomes
- Salt Lake City, UT by October 31 — 2 outcomes
- Boston, MA by November 15 — 2 outcomes
- Buffalo, NY by November 15 — 2 outcomes
- Chicago, IL by November 15 — 2 outcomes
- Denver, CO by November 15 — 2 outcomes
- Detroit, MI by November 15 — 2 outcomes
- Kansas City, MO by November 15 — 2 outcomes
- Minneapolis, MN by November 15 — 2 outcomes
- Pittsburgh, PA by November 15 — 2 outcomes
- Salt Lake City, UT by November 15 — 2 outcomes
- Boston, MA by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Buffalo, NY by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Chicago, IL by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Cincinnati, OH by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Dallas, TX by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Denver, CO by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Detroit, MI by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Indianapolis, IN by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Kansas City, MO by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Minneapolis, MN by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Nashville, TN by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- New York City, NY by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Philadelphia, PA by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Pittsburgh, PA by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Salt Lake City, UT by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- St. Louis, MO by November 30 — 2 outcomes
- Washington, DC by November 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/421471?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/first-snow-of-the-2026-season.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.