---
title: "Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/flavio-bolsonaro-arrested-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 29807.05
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-05T06:29:16+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/flavio-bolsonaro-arrested-before-2027
---

# Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?

Live · $29,807 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge's decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as he is held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:

- Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
- Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
- Being formally booked or processed following detention
- Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
- Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with his attorney
- Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention:

- An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
- Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
- Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 3% | 3.8¢ on Polymarket | 3.8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1023092?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/flavio-bolsonaro-arrested-before-2027).

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