---
title: "Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by-polymarket-a7222c59
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-04-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 28224.68
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-05T06:26:47+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by-polymarket-a7222c59
---

# Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?

Live · $28,225 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

If it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## November 30, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 2.4¢ on Polymarket | 2.4¢ |
| No | 98% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- March 31, 2027 — 2 outcomes
- June 30, 2027 — 2 outcomes
- December 31, 2027 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1034726?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by-polymarket-a7222c59).

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