---
title: "Florida's 13th District margin of victory"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/floridas-13th-district-margin-of-victory-floridas-13th-district
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1183.75
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:55:50+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/floridas-13th-district-margin-of-victory-floridas-13th-district
---

# Florida's 13th District margin of victory

Live · $1,184 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.

For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Republican Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Republican Party will be summed.

If the Republican Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Republican Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Republican Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Republican Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luna, 1+ pts | 69% | 73¢ on Kalshi | 73¢ |
| Luna, 4+ pts | — | — | — |
| Luna, 7+ pts | 38% | 42¢ on Kalshi | 42¢ |
| Luna, 10+ pts | 24% | 28¢ on Kalshi | 28¢ |
| Luna, 13+ pts | — | — | — |
| Luna, 16+ pts | — | — | — |
| Luna, 19+ pts | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1022?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/floridas-13th-district-margin-of-victory-floridas-13th-district.

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