---
title: "Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1105081.55
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:05:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by
---

# Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Live · $1,105,082 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. 

Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.  

Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border. 

Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.

Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | 12¢ on Polymarket | 12¢ |
| No | 89% | 89¢ on Polymarket | 89¢ |

## Other markets

- March 31 — 2 outcomes
- April 30 — 2 outcomes
- June 30 — 2 outcomes
- August 31 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5137?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by.

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