---
title: "France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/france-defaults-on-debt-by-december-31-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 20020.23
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Markets", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:16:42+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/france-defaults-on-debt-by-december-31-2027
---

# France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

Live · $20,020 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. 

The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92% | 93¢ on Polymarket | 93¢ |
| Yes | 8% | 8.9¢ on Polymarket | 8.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/927862?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/france-defaults-on-debt-by-december-31-2027).

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.