---
title: "France vs Morocco"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/france-vs-morocco-polymarket-a3c8786f
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-10T20:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-09T22:04:24+00:00
total_volume_usd: 279747100.87
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:28:52+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/france-vs-morocco-polymarket-a3c8786f
---

# France vs Morocco

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-09 20:00 UTC · $279,747,101 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket

## Result

**France** won. Settled 2026-07-09.

## About

This is a World Cup 2026 quarterfinal. France is the favourite at 62%, Morocco around 15%, draw around 25%. Let me write the description.

France head into a FIFA World Cup 2026 quarterfinal against Morocco on July 9, with prediction markets treating Les Bleus as clear but not overwhelming favourites. The headline moneyline market on Kalshi asks whether France advance past Morocco to the semifinals, and the price sits at 62.0% for France. Polymarket, Kalshi, Azuro and Limitless all converge tightly on the regulation-time outcomes: France to win at 61.0–62.0%, a draw at 25.0–25.6%, and Morocco at 14.0–15.0%, with cross-platform spreads under a point on the main lines.

This is a rematch of the Qatar 2022 semifinal, in which France beat Morocco 2-0 — a result that made Morocco the first African team to reach that stage and sent France to the final. France arrive here having won all five of their tournament matches, scoring 14 and conceding only two, while Morocco are unbeaten across five games, which helps explain why goal-scoring markets skew low: Kalshi's over 2.5 goals sits at 48.0% and Azuro's under 2.5 goals prices in at 53.5%. A notable pre-match development is that Morocco striker Ismael Saibari, who scored in each group game and converted the decisive penalty against the Netherlands, has been ruled out with a hamstring injury sustained in the previous round, which likely reinforces France's edge. Kylian Mbappé enters with seven goals in five games, and Kalshi prices him at 55.0% to score.

Across all four venues, the market read is consistent: France a moderate favourite, Morocco a live underdog, and a tight, low-scoring contest the base case.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-09; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Regulation Time Total Goals — 6 outcomes
- Regulation Time Spread — 4 outcomes
- Second Half Total — 4 outcomes
- Second Half Spread — 2 outcomes
- First Half Total — 4 outcomes
- First Half Spread — 2 outcomes
- Regulation Time Team Total — 7 outcomes
- Team Corners — 6 outcomes
- Score or Assist — 12 outcomes
- Goalscorer — 19 outcomes
- First Team to Score — 3 outcomes
- Total Corners — 5 outcomes
- Assists — 16 outcomes
- To Advance — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- First Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco — 2 outcomes
- Halftime Result: France — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- First Team to Score: France — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Result: France (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Morocco Starters — 26 outcomes
- France Starters — 26 outcomes
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goals — 2 outcomes
- Bilal El Khannouss: 2+ goals — 2 outcomes
- Manu Koné: 2+ goals — 2 outcomes
- Michael Olise: 1+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assists — 2 outcomes
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals + assists — 2 outcomes
- Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals — 2 outcomes
- Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Neil El Aynaoui: 2+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ assists — 2 outcomes
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals + assists — 2 outcomes
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ goals — 2 outcomes
- Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goals — 2 outcomes
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ shots on target — 2 outcomes
- … and 367 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/13475?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/3698?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4739?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5228?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/france-vs-morocco-polymarket-a3c8786f.

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