--- title: "France vs Spain" canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/france-vs-spain status: settled kickoff_at: 2026-07-14T00:00:00+00:00 trading_closes_at: 2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00 settled_at: 2026-07-14T20:59:36+00:00 total_volume_usd: 422275997.65 venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"] categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"] prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T21:23:11+00:00 publisher: BetCrypto data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/france-vs-spain --- # France vs Spain Settled · kickoff 2026-07-14 00:00 UTC · $422,275,998 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket ## Result **Spain** won. Settled 2026-07-14. ## About This is the FIFA World Cup 2026 semifinal between France and Spain, scheduled for July 14 in Dallas, with the winner advancing to the final. Across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless, the primary match-winner market — covering which team advances past the semifinal — shows France as the narrow favourite at 42.5% on Polymarket and 41.0% on Kalshi, while Spain sits at 30.0% on both Kalshi and Polymarket (with Limitless pricing Spain fractionally lower at 29.6%). A draw at 90 minutes is priced around 29.5%–30.0%, meaning extra time and penalties remain a live possibility that the market is meaningfully pricing in. The cross-platform spread on the France outcome is a modest 1.5 percentage points — the widest gap in the dataset — suggesting Polymarket traders are slightly more bullish on Les Bleus than Kalshi's user base. France arrive on the back of a 2-0 quarterfinal win over Morocco, generating a dominant 3.68 xG against just 0.14 for the Atlas Lions. Spain, meanwhile, edged Portugal 1-0 on a stoppage-time goal from Mikel Merino, then did virtually the same to Belgium in a 2-1 win settled in the 88th minute. A June 2025 Nations League meeting went Spain's way 5-4, while Spain also beat France 2-1 in the Euro 2024 semifinal, giving La Roja recent psychological edge despite France's tournament momentum. On the props side, Kalshi prices Kylian Mbappé as the most likely first goalscorer at 60.0%, and the total goals market on Kalshi sits right at the 51.0% mark for over 2.5, signalling expectations of an open, attacking contest. Overall, all three platforms are broadly aligned: France lead by a slim margin in a genuinely three-way contest, and the near-zero cross-platform spread on most outcomes suggests consistent consensus pricing heading into one of the tournament's marquee fixtures. _AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._ ## Other markets - To Advance — 2 outcomes - Regulation Time Total Goals — 6 outcomes - Regulation Time Spread — 4 outcomes - First Half Spread — 2 outcomes - First Half Winner — 3 outcomes - First Half Total — 4 outcomes - Goalscorer — 21 outcomes - First Team to Score — 3 outcomes - Second Half Winner — 3 outcomes - First Goalscorer — 3 outcomes - Second Half Total — 4 outcomes - Second Half Spread — 2 outcomes - Regulation Time Team Total — 8 outcomes - Score or Assist — 12 outcomes - Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes - Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goals — 2 outcomes - Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain — 2 outcomes - Halftime Result: France — 2 outcomes - Assists — 18 outcomes - Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes - Total Corners: France Corners: O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes - Total Corners: France Corners: O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes - Total Corners: France Corners: O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes - Total Corners: Spain Corners: O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes - Total Corners: Spain Corners: O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes - Total Corners: Spain Corners: O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes - Bradley Barcola: 3+ goals — 2 outcomes - Désiré Doué: 3+ goals — 2 outcomes - Ferrán Torres: 3+ goals — 2 outcomes - Rayan Cherki: 3+ goals — 2 outcomes - Team Corners — 6 outcomes - Total Corners — 5 outcomes - Second Half Result: France (2h) — 2 outcomes - First Team to Score: France — 2 outcomes - Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shots — 2 outcomes - Adrien Rabiot: 2+ shots — 2 outcomes - Alex Baena: 1+ shots — 2 outcomes - Alex Baena: 2+ shots — 2 outcomes - Aymeric Laporte: 1+ shots — 2 outcomes - Aymeric Laporte: 2+ shots — 2 outcomes - … and 363 more _Every market's prices are on the event page._ ## Open on a venue - [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/27807?via=md) - [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/20229?via=md) - [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/21077?via=md) - [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/21767?via=md) --- Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/france-vs-spain. BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.