---
title: "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-04-18T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 108385.03
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:17:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026
---

# French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Live · $108,385 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Mathilde Panot

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 3% | 3.7¢ on Polymarket | 3.7¢ |

## Other markets

- Éric Zemmour — 2 outcomes
- Jordan Bardella — 2 outcomes
- Michel Barnier — 2 outcomes
- Valérie Pécresse — 2 outcomes
- Gabriel Attal — 2 outcomes
- Élisabeth Borne — 2 outcomes
- Yaël Braun-Pivet — 2 outcomes
- Jean Castex — 2 outcomes
- Gérald Darmanin — 2 outcomes
- Sébastien Lecornu — 2 outcomes
- François Bayrou — 2 outcomes
- Bernard Cazeneuve — 2 outcomes
- Carole Delga — 2 outcomes
- Olivier Faure — 2 outcomes
- François Hollande — 2 outcomes
- Raphaël Glucksmann — 2 outcomes
- Manuel Bompard — 2 outcomes
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon — 2 outcomes
- Dominique de Villepin — 2 outcomes
- Marine Le Pen — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6049?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026.

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