---
title: "French socialist bloc presidential primary winner? — in 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/french-socialist-bloc-presidential-primary-winner-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-01T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 20342.85
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:39:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/french-socialist-bloc-presidential-primary-winner-in-2026
---

# French socialist bloc presidential primary winner? — in 2026

Live · $20,343 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 88% | 90¢ on Kalshi | 90¢ |
| Olivier Faure | 8% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | — | — | — |
| Jérôme Guedj | — | — | — |
| Boris Vallaud | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Philippe Brun | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| François Hollande | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293043?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/french-socialist-bloc-presidential-primary-winner-in-2026.

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