---
title: "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2800411.11
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:17:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027
---

# Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Live · $2,800,411 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 58% | 68¢ on Polymarket | 68¢ |
| June 30, 2027 | 26% | 26¢ on Polymarket | 26¢ |
| March 31, 2027 | 20% | 21¢ on Polymarket | 21¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 7% | 7¢ on Polymarket | 7¢ |
| November 30, 2026 | 6% | 6¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ |
| October 31, 2026? | 2% | 1.6¢ on Polymarket | 1.6¢ |
| No | — | — | — |
| September 30, 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5236?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027.

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