---
title: "FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ftc-antitrust-case-against-meta-revived-on-appeal
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 620.57
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics", "Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:06:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ftc-antitrust-case-against-meta-revived-on-appeal
---

# FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?

Live · $621 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit reverses or vacates, in whole or in part, the district court's November 18, 2025 judgment for Meta, such that the FTC's monopolization claims may proceed in Federal Trade Commission v. Meta Platforms, Inc., No. 26-5028, on appeal from No. 20-cv-3590 (D.D.C.) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves on a written ruling of the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, including a ruling on rehearing en banc. A Supreme Court ruling does NOT count.

A remand for further proceedings resolves the market to YES. The FTC does not have to prevail on remand, and no divestiture of Instagram or WhatsApp is required. Per curiam opinions and summary orders count.

The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Affirmance of the judgment in full
The district court's November 18, 2025 opinion and judgment, which is the ruling under review
A disposition that leaves the judgment standing, such as dismissal of the appeal or vacatur on grounds of mootness
Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order
Tentative rulings that are not made final
Settlements or voluntary dismissals
Administrative or scheduling orders

If no qualifying ruling is issued after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, this market resolves to NO.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55% | 60¢ on Kalshi | 60¢ |
| No | 45% | 50¢ on Kalshi | 50¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/329636?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ftc-antitrust-case-against-meta-revived-on-appeal.

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