---
title: "Gaston vs Moeller"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/gaston-vs-moeller
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-10T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-17T13:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-10T15:19:58+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1521155.56
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:59:14+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/gaston-vs-moeller
---

# Gaston vs Moeller

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-10 00:00 UTC · $1,521,156 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Hugo Gaston** won. Settled 2026-07-10.

## About

This market covers the ATP Challenger Braunschweig quarterfinal between Hugo Gaston and Marvin Moeller, originally scheduled for 10 July 2026. On Polymarket and Kalshi, the headline contract resolves to the player who advances; Kalshi's version specifies resolution once a ball has been played, with rescheduling allowed within two weeks. Azuro additionally lists a broad set of side markets covering handicaps, totals and odd/even game counts.

The main line is effectively settled. Hugo Gaston is the overwhelming favourite at a consensus 99.9%, priced at 99.9% on Polymarket and 99.0% on Kalshi, while Marvin Moeller sits at roughly 0.1% on Polymarket and 1.0% on Kalshi. Total volume across platforms is about $1.52 million, concentrated on Kalshi ($1.52M) and Polymarket ($213K), with Azuro's activity negligible at $7.

The one notable dislocation is Azuro, which still shows Gaston at 72.5% and Moeller at 34.8% on the moneyline — figures that look like stale or thinly traded quotes rather than a genuine disagreement, given the near-zero volume there. Across the two liquid venues, Polymarket and Kalshi agree within about one percentage point that Gaston has essentially already advanced.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 23 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -3 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 19.5 — 2 outcomes
- Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -4 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 13 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11 — 2 outcomes
- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17263?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17713?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17281?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/gaston-vs-moeller.

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