---
title: "Gemini 4.0 released by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/gemini-40-released-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1306763.35
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:42:09+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/gemini-40-released-by
---

# Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Live · $1,306,763 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

Delisted by every venue without a result — this event will not resolve.

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.

Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 9

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | 4.7¢ |
| No | — | — | 98¢ |

## Other markets

- June 30 — 2 outcomes
- July 31 — 2 outcomes
- August 31 — 2 outcomes
- September 15 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes
- October 2 — 2 outcomes
- October 5 — 2 outcomes
- October 10 — 2 outcomes
- October 12 — 2 outcomes
- October 13 — 2 outcomes
- October 14 — 2 outcomes
- October 15 — 2 outcomes
- October 16 — 2 outcomes
- October 23 — 2 outcomes
- October 31 — 2 outcomes
- November 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5592?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/gemini-40-released-by.

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