---
title: "Greece vs. Germany"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/greece-vs-germany-2
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-04T18:45:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-07T03:45:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-04T20:40:08+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4841710.46
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T08:58:48+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/greece-vs-germany-2
---

# Greece vs. Germany

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-04 18:45 UTC · $4,841,710 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Limitless, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Draw** won. Settled 2026-10-04.

## About

Greece host Germany in a UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 4, 2026. The event is listed on Polymarket, Kalshi, Novig, Limitless, Azuro and Polymarket US, with roughly $1.0 million in total volume, most of it on Polymarket and Kalshi. There are three outcomes: a Germany win, a Greece win, or a draw. Kalshi's rules settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalties are excluded. Polymarket US lists separate regulation-time contracts for each team and the tie.

Germany are clear favourites at a 53.6% consensus. Novig prices them at 53.8%, and Kalshi, Limitless and Polymarket all sit at 53.5%. The draw averages 24.5% and Greece 22.1%. That makes Germany more than twice as likely as Greece to win, which suggests the market sees the visitors as stronger despite playing away. Polymarket US's regulation-time contracts match the consensus closely: 53.5% for Germany, 24.5% for the tie and 22.5% for Greece.

The main outlier is Azuro. It has Greece at 27.0%, compared with 21.5% on Kalshi, the widest spread on the board at 5.45 points. Azuro also prices the draw at 26.3% and Germany at 55.6%, so its three outcomes add up to more than the other venues' and likely carry a larger built-in margin. Azuro's volume is also thin at about $1,338.

Overall, the major venues agree almost exactly on this match, and the only notable divergence comes from Azuro's low-volume market, mainly on Greece.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-04; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread: GRE (Reg. Time) −2.5 (1H) — 0 outcomes
- Spread: GRE (Reg. Time) −1.5 (1H) — 0 outcomes
- Spread: GER (Reg. Time) −1.5 (1H) — 0 outcomes
- Spread: GER (Reg. Time) −2.5 (1H) — 0 outcomes
- Spread: GRE (Reg. Time) −2.5 (2H) — 0 outcomes
- Spread: GRE (Reg. Time) −1.5 (2H) — 0 outcomes
- Spread: GER (Reg. Time) −1.5 (2H) — 0 outcomes
- Spread: GER (Reg. Time) −2.5 (2H) — 0 outcomes
- Spread: Greece −3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: GER (Reg. Time) −2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Germany −3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Germany −5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Germany −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Greece −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: GRE (Reg. Time) −2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: GER (Reg. Time) −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: GRE (Reg. Time) −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Greece −5.5 — 2 outcomes
- First Team to Score: Greece — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Greece 0 - 0 Germany — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Result: Greece (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Halftime Result: Greece — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 13.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 3.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 4.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 5.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 3.5 (2H) — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 4.5 (2H) — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 5.5 (2H) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 584 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/714245?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/627029?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/662852?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/685858?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/584523?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/644274?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/greece-vs-germany-2.

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