---
title: "Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/guinea-bissau-presidential-election
status: ended
trading_closes_at: 2025-11-24T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 341887.62
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-12T01:53:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/guinea-bissau-presidential-election
---

# Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Ended · $341,888 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

Delisted by every venue without a result — this event will not resolve.

## About

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Umaro Sissoco Embaló | — | — | 17¢ |
| Mamadu Iaia Djaló | — | — | 2.9¢ |
| Honório Augusto Lopes | — | — | 2.4¢ |
| João Bernardo Vieira | — | — | 2.9¢ |
| João de Deus Mendes | — | — | 2.1¢ |
| Fernando Dias da Costa | — | — | 25¢ |
| Mário da Silva Júnior | — | — | 2.7¢ |
| Herculano Armando Bequinsa | — | — | 1.7¢ |
| Siga Batista | — | — | 2.5¢ |
| José Mário Vaz | — | — | 3.2¢ |
| Baciro Djá | — | — | 2.9¢ |
| Gabriel Fernando Indi | — | — | 2.7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/591178?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/guinea-bissau-presidential-election.

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