---
title: "Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-leader-of-bahrain-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 308618.7
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:17:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-leader-of-bahrain-by
---

# Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

Live · $308,619 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.

An announcement of  Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 6¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ |
| No | 95% | 96¢ on Polymarket | 96¢ |

## Other markets

- June 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5291?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-leader-of-bahrain-by.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.