---
title: "Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/hanshin-tigers-vs-tokyo-yakult-swallows-polymarket-5f5c2485
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-11T09:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-19T09:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-11T14:17:58+00:00
total_volume_usd: 214887.03
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:19:44+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/hanshin-tigers-vs-tokyo-yakult-swallows-polymarket-5f5c2485
---

# Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-11 09:00 UTC · $214,887 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Hanshin Tigers** won. Settled 2026-07-11.

## About

This market covers a Nippon Professional Baseball regular-season game between the Hanshin Tigers and the Tokyo Yakult Swallows, originally scheduled for early July 2026. On Polymarket and Kalshi, contracts pay out based on which team wins, with a tie resolving 50-50; Azuro additionally lists a Draw outcome. The event is now closed, with combined volume of about $2,044 across the listing platforms.

The Hanshin Tigers are the clear favourite, but the degree of confidence differs sharply by venue. Polymarket priced Hanshin at 99.5%, effectively treating the outcome as decided, while Kalshi had the Tigers at 67.0% and Azuro at 66.2%. Correspondingly, the Tokyo Yakult Swallows sat at just 0.5% on Polymarket versus 32.0% on Kalshi and 32.7% on Azuro. Azuro also carried a 14.9% implied chance of a Draw, which the other two platforms do not offer as a distinct outcome.

The cross-platform spread is unusually wide: about 32.5 points on Hanshin and 31.5 points on Tokyo Yakult between Polymarket and the other two books. The takeaway is that Polymarket and Kalshi/Azuro were pricing the same game in materially different information regimes at snapshot time.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/23003?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/15884?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/25208?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/hanshin-tigers-vs-tokyo-yakult-swallows-polymarket-5f5c2485.

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