---
title: "Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/hawaii-total-visitor-arrivals-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-31T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 22564.89
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:17:02+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/hawaii-total-visitor-arrivals-in-2026
---

# Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

Live · $22,565 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Underlying is total statewide visitor arrivals for calendar year 2026, including visitors arriving by air and visitors arriving aboard out-of-state cruise ships, as reported by the State of Hawaii. It does not use visitor days, average daily census, airport passenger throughput, or arrivals to an individual island. Visitors who fly to Hawaii to board a cruise ship are already included in air arrivals and are not separately added again.

Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. DBEDT’s 2025 total, for example, was 9,642,991 = 9,493,213 by air + 149,778 by cruise ship.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 9.4 million | — | — | — |
| Above 9.6 million | 76% | 76¢ on Kalshi | 76¢ |
| Above 9.8 million | 15% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Above 10.0 million | 7% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Above 10.2 million | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/339833?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/hawaii-total-visitor-arrivals-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.