---
title: "Houston vs Washington"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/houston-vs-washington-kalshi-91c4f3fd
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-07T22:45:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-14T22:45:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-08T02:04:29+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7054902.63
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:05:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/houston-vs-washington-kalshi-91c4f3fd
---

# Houston vs Washington

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-07 22:45 UTC · $7,054,903 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Houston Astros** won. Settled 2026-07-08.

## About

This is a moneyline market for the Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals MLB game on July 7, 2026 at Nationals Park. The market resolves to whichever team wins. Let me draft the description.

The Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals matchup is a July 7, 2026 MLB interleague game at Nationals Park, with the headline moneyline market resolving to whichever team wins. Polymarket currently prices Houston as the favourite at 63.9%, implying a 36.1% chance for Washington. Kalshi's version of the same market tells a very different story, listing Houston at just 47.0% and Washington at 55.0% — a cross-platform spread of roughly 17 points on the Astros line and 20 points on the Nationals line, which is unusually wide for a single-game MLB market. Total-runs derivatives on Kalshi lean heavily toward scoring, with Over 7.5 runs at 75.0% and Over 9.5 at 54.0%, consistent with a projected total near 9.

The Kalshi read aligns more closely with the sportsbook consensus. ESPN lists Tatsuya Imai (5-4, 6.14 ERA) starting for Houston against Washington's Andrew Alvarez (2-1, 3.05), with the Nationals as home favourites and ESPN Analytics giving Washington a 66.6% win probability. The Astros come in at 45-48 after losing the series opener 12-11 on Monday, blowing a 6-1 third-inning lead before falling short in a comeback, and Alvarez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings, which helps explain Washington's edge with the books.

The takeaway: Kalshi and the sportsbooks agree Washington is the narrow favourite, while Polymarket's Astros line looks like a clear outlier at this snapshot.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-08; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Total Bases — 18 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 4 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 14 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 20 outcomes
- Home Runs — 8 outcomes
- Hits — 14 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- RBIs — 12 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- Cam Smith: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- Cam Smith: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Christian Walker: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Christian Walker: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- CJ Abrams: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- CJ Abrams: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Curtis Mead: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Curtis Mead: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Daylen Lile: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Daylen Lile: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- … and 26 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/3977?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7744?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/houston-vs-washington-kalshi-91c4f3fd.

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