---
title: "Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on
status: ended
trading_closes_at: 2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 121578.65
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:52:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on
---

# Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

Ended · $121,579 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Saudi Arabia on the specified date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Saudi Arabia. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.

The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.

Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Saudi Arabia do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.

“Saudi Arabia” refers to the terrestrial territory of Saudi Arabia, including its internal waters. Saudi Arabia’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Saudi Arabia as of market creation will qualify.

The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government and military of Saudi Arabia and the Houthis and a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## September 25

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | 8.9¢ |
| No | — | — | 96¢ |

## Other markets

- September 18 — 2 outcomes
- September 19 — 2 outcomes
- September 20 — 2 outcomes
- September 21 — 2 outcomes
- September 22 — 2 outcomes
- September 23 — 2 outcomes
- September 24 — 2 outcomes
- September 26 — 2 outcomes
- September 27 — 2 outcomes
- September 28 — 2 outcomes
- September 29 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/552937?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on.

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