---
title: "Houthis enter Aden by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/houthis-enter-aden-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 490344.49
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Markets", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:02:40+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/houthis-enter-aden-by
---

# Houthis enter Aden by...?

Live · $490,344 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of Aden, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf.

"Aden" refers to the following districts of Aden Governorate, Yemen: Craiter (Sirah), At Tawahi, Al Mualla, Khur Maksar, Ash Shaikh Outhman, Dar Sad, and Al Mansura. Al Buraiqeh district (Little Aden) is excluded and entry into Al Buraiqeh alone will not qualify.

"Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Aden, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established.

The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify.

In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Aden is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 15

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1.8¢ on Polymarket | 1.8¢ |
| No | 99% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |

## Other markets

- September 30 — 2 outcomes
- October 31 — 2 outcomes
- November 30 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/494494?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/houthis-enter-aden-by.

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