---
title: "How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-high-will-peak-electricity-demand-on-the-texas-ercot-grid-get-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T06:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 577438.81
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:33:45+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-high-will-peak-electricity-demand-on-the-texas-ercot-grid-get-in-2026
---

# How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

Live · $577,439 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Resolution will use ERCOT’s integrated system load for a full hour. Instantaneous load readings will not be considered.

ERCOT’s preliminary peak-demand figures may change during the settlement process. Resolution will use the applicable official settled peak-demand value published by ERCOT.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 91,500 MW | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Above 92,000 MW | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Above 92,500 MW | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Above 93,000 MW | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Above 94,000 MW | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Above 96,000 MW | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Above 98,000 MW | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/285283?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-high-will-peak-electricity-demand-on-the-texas-ercot-grid-get-in-2026.

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