---
title: "How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 9, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-high-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-9-2026
status: ended
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-09T19:30:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 193
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T19:51:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-high-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-9-2026
---

# How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 9, 2026?

Ended · $193 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

How this is resolved
This market covers the period between Oct 2, 2026 and Oct 9, 2026.
Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. 

Expiration
If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.31% or above | — | — | — |
| 5.32% or above | — | — | — |
| 5.34% or above | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/743555?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-high-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-9-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.