---
title: "How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-16T19:30:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-16T19:30:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 43098.57
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-01T07:50:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026
---

# How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?

Settled · $43,099 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Result

Voided — no outcome won. Settled value: 5.22% or below. Settled 2026-10-16.

## About

How this is resolved
This market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.
Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. 

Expiration
If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/823207?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-low-will-the-10y-us-treasury-yield-get-by-oct-16-2026).

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