---
title: "How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6468.89
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:45:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026
---

# How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?

Live · $6,469 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $3.50 | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Below $3.70 | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Below $3.90 | — | — | — |
| Below $4.10 | — | — | — |
| Below $4.30 | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Below $4.50 | 13% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Below $4.70 | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Below $4.90 | 14% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Below $5.10 | — | — | — |
| Below $5.30 | 21% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Below $5.50 | 25% | 30¢ on Kalshi | 30¢ |
| Below $5.70 | 41% | 48¢ on Kalshi | 48¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/512953?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.