---
title: "How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-65-or-above-earthquakes-worldwide-october-5-october-11
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-12T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7605.12
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:17:39+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-65-or-above-earthquakes-worldwide-october-5-october-11
---

# How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?

Live · $7,605 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.

This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 71% | 71¢ on Polymarket | 71¢ |
| 1 | 20% | 21¢ on Polymarket | 21¢ |
| 2 | 5% | 6¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ |
| 5 | 1% | 2.6¢ on Polymarket | 2.6¢ |
| 3 | 1% | 1.9¢ on Polymarket | 1.9¢ |
| more than 5 | 0.4% | 0.8¢ on Polymarket | 0.8¢ |
| 4 | — | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/690345?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-65-or-above-earthquakes-worldwide-october-5-october-11.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.