---
title: "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-70-or-above-earthquakes-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-08T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1476217.91
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:06:49+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-70-or-above-earthquakes-in-2026
---

# How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Live · $1,476,218 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| <5 | — | — | — |
| 5–7 | — | — | — |
| 8–10 | — | — | — |
| 11–13 | 28% | 35¢ on Polymarket | 35¢ |
| 14–16 | 56% | 64¢ on Polymarket | 64¢ |
| 17–19 | 21% | 27¢ on Polymarket | 27¢ |
| 20+ | 2% | 1.9¢ on Polymarket | 1.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5040?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-70-or-above-earthquakes-in-2026.

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