---
title: "How many Harris-won districts will Republicans win in 2026? — November 3, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-harris-won-districts-will-republicans-win-in-2026-november-3-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-15T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 210
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:43:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-harris-won-districts-will-republicans-win-in-2026-november-3-2026
---

# How many Harris-won districts will Republicans win in 2026? — November 3, 2026

Live · $210 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The qualifying districts are the 201 in which Harris received more votes than Trump in 2024, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. That list is fixed as of Issuance and identified by state and district number, so later boundary changes and revisions to the 2024 vote totals do NOT add or remove districts.

A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Republican, including as preferring the Republican Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 | — | — | — |
| At least 2 | — | — | — |
| At least 3 | — | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| At least 4 | — | — | — |
| At least 6 | — | — | — |
| At least 8 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1101746?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-harris-won-districts-will-republicans-win-in-2026-november-3-2026).

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