---
title: "How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election? — When the new House convenes in Jan 2029"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-house-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2028-election-when-the-new-house-convenes-in-jan-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-02-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 11363.13
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T05:48:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-house-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2028-election-when-the-new-house-convenes-in-jan-2029
---

# How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election? — When the new House convenes in Jan 2029

Live · $11,363 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 185 | — | — | — |
| At least 190 | — | — | — |
| At least 195 | — | — | — |
| At least 200 | — | — | — |
| At least 205 | — | — | — |
| At least 210 | — | — | — |
| At least 215 | — | — | — |
| At least 218 | — | — | — |
| At least 220 | — | — | — |
| At least 225 | — | — | — |
| At least 230 | 84% | 84¢ on Kalshi | 84¢ |
| At least 235 | 78% | 78¢ on Kalshi | 78¢ |
| At least 240 | 59% | 59¢ on Kalshi | 59¢ |
| At least 245 | 54% | 54¢ on Kalshi | 54¢ |
| At least 250 | 37% | 37¢ on Kalshi | 37¢ |
| At least 255 | 23% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| At least 260 | 16% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| At least 265 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1078320?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-house-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2028-election-when-the-new-house-convenes-in-jan-2029).

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