---
title: "How many Knesset members will abstain or not vote on the new Israeli government?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-knesset-members-will-abstain-or-not-vote-on-the-new-israeli-government
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1279.68
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:27:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-knesset-members-will-abstain-or-not-vote-on-the-new-israeli-government
---

# How many Knesset members will abstain or not vote on the new Israeli government?

Live · $1,280 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who do not vote “For” or “Against” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election, including Members who abstain, are absent, or otherwise do not participate. This number is calculated as 120 minus the combined number of “For” and “Against” votes.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 33% | 63¢ on Polymarket | 63¢ |
| 10+ | 33% | 48¢ on Polymarket | 48¢ |
| 0 | 32% | 61¢ on Polymarket | 61¢ |
| 2 | 32% | 61¢ on Polymarket | 61¢ |
| No vote by February 28 | 30% | 46¢ on Polymarket | 46¢ |
| 1 | 30% | 56¢ on Polymarket | 56¢ |
| 5–6 | 28% | 52¢ on Polymarket | 52¢ |
| 7–9 | 22% | 40¢ on Polymarket | 40¢ |
| 3 | — | 59¢ on Polymarket | 59¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1123158?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-knesset-members-will-abstain-or-not-vote-on-the-new-israeli-government).

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