---
title: "How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? — After Issuance, before Jan 3, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-nominees-will-the-senate-confirm-in-the-lame-duck-after-issuance-before-jan-3-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-04T13:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 28485.82
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:19:59+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-nominees-will-the-senate-confirm-in-the-lame-duck-after-issuance-before-jan-3-2027
---

# How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? — After Issuance, before Jan 3, 2027

Live · $28,486 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution.

The following do NOT count:
Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard
Foreign Service lists (appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service), and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 10 | 95% | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| At least 25 | 90% | 91¢ on Kalshi | 91¢ |
| At least 50 | 75% | 75¢ on Kalshi | 75¢ |
| At least 75 | 66% | 67¢ on Kalshi | 67¢ |
| At least 100 | 62% | 62¢ on Kalshi | 62¢ |
| At least 125 | 57% | 59¢ on Kalshi | 59¢ |
| At least 150 | — | — | — |
| At least 175 | — | — | — |
| At least 200 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1129010?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-nominees-will-the-senate-confirm-in-the-lame-duck-after-issuance-before-jan-3-2027).

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