---
title: "How many people will Trump deport in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 129787.17
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:49:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026
---

# How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

Live · $129,787 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. 

The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200-300k | 2% | 4¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ |
| 300-400k | 11% | 13¢ on Polymarket | 13¢ |
| 400-500k | — | 78¢ on Polymarket | 78¢ |
| 500-600k | 12% | 16¢ on Polymarket | 16¢ |
| 600-700k | 2% | 2.9¢ on Polymarket | 2.9¢ |
| 700-800k | 1% | 2.2¢ on Polymarket | 2.2¢ |
| 800-900k | 0.4% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | 0.5¢ |
| <200k | 2% | 2.1¢ on Polymarket | 2.1¢ |
| 900k-1m | 2% | 2.8¢ on Polymarket | 2.8¢ |
| >1m | 0.8% | 1.3¢ on Polymarket | 1.3¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5525?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026.

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