---
title: "How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-pjm-capacity-emergency-days-will-there-be-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:58:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 128901.55
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:04:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-pjm-capacity-emergency-days-will-there-be-in-2026
---

# How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?

Live · $128,902 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

A calendar day counts once if the specified emergency procedure was applicable for any portion of that day, regardless of how many separate postings were issued. Only postings applying to PJM-RTO will count; emergencies limited to individual zones or regions will not. Drills will not count.

PJM’s Postings Report explicitly counts an event on each date for which it is applicable, including events that span multiple calendar days

Clarification (09/02/26): PJM’s Postings Report identifies 11 eligible calendar days on which the specified alert was applicable through September 2. Although 12 non-drill days appear under “postings”, one of those dates, May 20, is excluded because the corresponding alert applied only to BGE, DOM, and PEPCO, rather than PJM-RTO. Drills are also excluded, and each qualifying calendar day is counted only once. Accordingly, the current resolution value is 11 qualifying days, and the “Above 10 days” market will be determined Yes. The other strikes remain undetermined.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 10 days | — | — | — |
| Above 12 days | — | — | — |
| Above 15 days | 31% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| Above 20 days | 12% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Above 25 days | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Above 30 days | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/285284?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-pjm-capacity-emergency-days-will-there-be-in-2026.

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