---
title: "How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms? — from January 1 to November 3, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-rallies-will-trump-hold-before-the-midterms-from-january-1-to-november-3-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-03T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 27278.05
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:44:03+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-rallies-will-trump-hold-before-the-midterms-from-january-1-to-november-3-2026
---

# How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms? — from January 1 to November 3, 2026

Live · kickoff 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC · $27,278 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

A Trump rally is a public, in-person political event organized around a rally-style address by Donald J. Trump, typically preceded by guest speakers, held at a large venue, and open to attendees via free registration. Examples in 2026 include the rallies on 1/27 (Clive, IA), 2/19 (Rome, GA), 2/27 (Corpus Christi, TX), 3/11 (Hebron, KY), 4/17 (Phoenix, AZ), 5/1 (The Villages, FL), and 5/22 (Suffern, NY). 

As of 5/27/26, the count is 7.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15 | — | — | — |
| Above 20 | 98% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Above 25 | 98% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Above 30 | 95% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Above 35 | 95% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Above 40 | 89% | 93¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ |
| Above 45 | 64% | 68¢ on Kalshi | 68¢ |
| Above 50 | — | — | — |
| Above 55 | 27% | 34¢ on Kalshi | 35¢ |
| Above 60 | — | — | — |
| Above 65 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1286?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-rallies-will-trump-hold-before-the-midterms-from-january-1-to-november-3-2026.

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