---
title: "How many Republican-favored Senate races will Republicans win? — at the November 3, 2026 general election"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-republican-favored-senate-races-will-republicans-win-at-the-november-3-2026-general-election
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-15T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 42705.62
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:47:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-republican-favored-senate-races-will-republicans-win-at-the-november-3-2026-general-election
---

# How many Republican-favored Senate races will Republicans win? — at the November 3, 2026 general election

Live · $42,706 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Republican-favored races are the 13 2026 U.S. Senate general elections (including special elections) in the states that the Cook Political Report rated Solid Republican or Likely Republican in its Senate race ratings dated Oct 30, 2026: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Idaho, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, West Virginia and Wyoming. The Florida race is the special election. That list is fixed as of Issuance, so later rating changes do NOT add or remove a race.

The count is the number of those 13 races won by a nominee of the Republican Party. A candidate who wins as an independent, or under a fusion, minor-party, or write-in line without being the Republican Party's own nominee, does NOT count, even if no Republican Party nominee appeared on the ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 11 | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| At least 12 | 96% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| All 13 | 8% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1109793?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-republican-favored-senate-races-will-republicans-win-at-the-november-3-2026-general-election).

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