---
title: "How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026? — 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-screwworm-cases-will-be-reported-in-the-united-states-in-2026-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 149930.86
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:26:40+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-screwworm-cases-will-be-reported-in-the-united-states-in-2026-2026
---

# How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026? — 2026

Live · kickoff 2027-01-01 00:00 UTC · $149,931 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized. This market refers exclusively to human cases.

Important information: To clarify, for purposes of this Contract, "cases" of New World screwworm refers to human cases only, consistent with the prior event in this series under equivalent rulebook variables. The Contract has been amended to provide that, unless otherwise specified, disease cases refer to human cases.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0 | 16% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Above 1 | 10% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Above 2 | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Above 3 | 7% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Above 5 | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Above 10 | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1453?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-screwworm-cases-will-be-reported-in-the-united-states-in-2026-2026.

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