---
title: "How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election? — When the new Senate convenes in Jan 2029"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2028-election-when-the-new-senate-convenes-in-jan-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-02-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 35734.48
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:58:03+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2028-election-when-the-new-senate-convenes-in-jan-2029
---

# How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election? — When the new Senate convenes in Jan 2029

Live · $35,734 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42 | — | — | — |
| At least 44 | — | — | — |
| At least 46 | — | — | — |
| At least 47 | — | — | — |
| At least 48 | — | — | — |
| At least 49 | — | — | — |
| At least 50 | 93% | 93¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ |
| At least 51 | 91% | 91¢ on Kalshi | 91¢ |
| At least 52 | — | — | — |
| At least 53 | 81% | 81¢ on Kalshi | 81¢ |
| At least 54 | 78% | 78¢ on Kalshi | 78¢ |
| At least 55 | 76% | 76¢ on Kalshi | 76¢ |
| At least 56 | 71% | 71¢ on Kalshi | 71¢ |
| At least 58 | 55% | 55¢ on Kalshi | 55¢ |
| At least 60 | 28% | 28¢ on Kalshi | 28¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1080771?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2028-election-when-the-new-senate-convenes-in-jan-2029).

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