---
title: "How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — On Feb 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-midterms-on-feb-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4146004.12
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:39:15+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-midterms-on-feb-1-2027
---

# How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — On Feb 1, 2027

Live · $4,146,004 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 52 | 38% | 38¢ on Kalshi | 38¢ |
| 52 | 18% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| 51 | 14% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| 50 | 13% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| 49 | 8% | 8.7¢ on Kalshi | 8.7¢ |
| 48 | 6% | 6.7¢ on Kalshi | 6.7¢ |
| 47 | 3% | 3.4¢ on Kalshi | 3.4¢ |
| Below 45 | 3% | 3.6¢ on Kalshi | 3.2¢ |
| 46 | 2% | 2.3¢ on Kalshi | 2.3¢ |
| 45 | 1% | 1.2¢ on Kalshi | 1.2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293202?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-midterms-on-feb-1-2027.

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