---
title: "How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act? — Before Jan 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-senators-will-vote-for-the-american-affordability-and-jobs-act-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 447
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics", "Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:35:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-senators-will-vote-for-the-american-affordability-and-jobs-act-before-jan-1-2027
---

# How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live · $447 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 counts under that name, including as amended. Other legislation, including a renamed version or a larger bill such as a defense authorization or government funding bill, counts if it includes all three of the Act's core permitting reforms: (1) deadlines for, or limits on judicial review of, environmental reviews under the National Environmental Policy Act; (2) limits on the federal government's ability to revoke, suspend or withdraw already-issued federal permits; and (3) new Federal Energy Regulatory Commission authority over the siting or cost allocation of interstate electric transmission lines. If the Senate's first vote clearing qualifying legislation is on a conference report or on a motion to concur in a House amendment, that vote counts as the final vote on passage.

The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No.

Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 56 | 68% | 72¢ on Kalshi | 72¢ |
| Above 60 | — | — | — |
| Above 64 | — | — | — |
| Above 68 | — | — | — |
| Above 72 | — | — | — |
| Above 76 | — | — | — |
| Above 80 | — | — | — |
| Above 84 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/684763?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-senators-will-vote-for-the-american-affordability-and-jobs-act-before-jan-1-2027.

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