---
title: "How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-spacex-launches-in-november-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 83359.32
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:17:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-spacex-launches-in-november-2026
---

# How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?

Live · $83,359 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until December 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by December 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 6 | 98% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ | — |
| Above 7 | 86% | 87¢ on Kalshi | 87¢ | — |
| Above 8 | 55% | 56¢ on Kalshi | 56¢ | — |
| Above 9 | 10% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ | — |
| Above 10 | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | — |
| <13 | 94% | 98¢ on Polymarket | — | 98¢ |
| Above 11 | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | — |
| Above 12 | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ | — |
| Above 13 | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ | — |
| Above 14 | — | — | — | — |
| 16 or above | 4% | 7¢ on Polymarket | — | 7¢ |
| Above 16 | — | — | — | — |
| 13 | 5% | 9.8¢ on Polymarket | — | 9.8¢ |
| 14 | 3% | 5.9¢ on Polymarket | — | 5.9¢ |
| 15 | 4% | 6.9¢ on Polymarket | — | 6.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1069269?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1063219?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-spacex-launches-in-november-2026).

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