---
title: "How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 63204
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:42:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026-in-2026
---

# How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Live · $63,204 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to  count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or below | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| 2 | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| 3 | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| 4 | 39% | 40¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ |
| 5 | 53% | 55¢ on Kalshi | 55¢ |
| 6 | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| 7 | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| 8 | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| 9 | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| 10 or above | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2142?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-will-reach-space-in-2026-in-2026.

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