---
title: "How many Twitch subscribers will KaiCenat reach this year? — Before Jan 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-twitch-subscribers-will-kaicenat-reach-this-year-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
kickoff_at: 2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4311.19
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Entertainment"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:50:17+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-twitch-subscribers-will-kaicenat-reach-this-year-before-jan-1-2027
---

# How many Twitch subscribers will KaiCenat reach this year? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live · kickoff 2027-01-01 00:00 UTC · $4,311 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Active paid Twitch subscribers includes Tier 1 subscriptions (including Prime Gaming), Tier 2, and Tier 3 subscriptions, all counted as single subscriptions without weighting. Gift subscriptions that are currently active are included. Followers, expired subscriptions, channel points, bits, and viewers are NOT included. Only the primary Twitch channel specified at issuance is considered. If the channel is banned or deleted before the deadline, the contract resolves based on the last verifiable peak achieved. The highest subscriber count achieved at any single moment during the period determines resolution. Channel username changes are tracked by unique channel ID and do not affect the market.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 600,000 or more | 13% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| 700,000 or more | — | — | — |
| 800,000 or more | — | — | — |
| 1,000,000 or more | 8% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| 1,100,000 or more | 7% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| 1,200,000 or more | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2117?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-twitch-subscribers-will-kaicenat-reach-this-year-before-jan-1-2027.

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