---
title: "How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot? — Opening of the 120th Congress"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-many-votes-will-jeffries-get-on-the-first-speaker-ballot-opening-of-the-120th-congress
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 200
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T15:21:01+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-votes-will-jeffries-get-on-the-first-speaker-ballot-opening-of-the-120th-congress
---

# How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot? — Opening of the 120th Congress

Live · $200 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The first ballot is the first roll-call vote for Speaker at the opening of the 120th Congress. The count is the number of votes cast for Hakeem Jeffries on it, and 0 if no roll-call vote for Speaker is held before Feb 1, 2027.

The following do NOT count:
Votes cast for Hakeem Jeffries on a later ballot
Votes recorded as Present or Not Voting, or cast for any other candidate

The result is determined from the roll call record of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 243 | — | — | — |
| At least 246 | — | — | — |
| At least 249 | — | — | — |
| At least 252 | — | — | — |
| At least 255 | 27% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| At least 258 | — | — | — |
| At least 261 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1176112?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-many-votes-will-jeffries-get-on-the-first-speaker-ballot-opening-of-the-120th-congress).

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