---
title: "How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? — Before 2029"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-much-government-spending-will-trump-cut-before-his-term-ends-before-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-03-31T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 91274.31
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:21:02+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-much-government-spending-will-trump-cut-before-his-term-ends-before-2029
---

# How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? — Before 2029

Live · $91,274 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028  is compared against Q4 2024.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 trillion | 8% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| At least 2 trillion | 7% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| At least $1 billion | 4% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| At least 50 billion | 13% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| At least 100 billion | 13% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| At least 150 billion | — | — | — |
| At least 200 billion | 12% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| At least 250 billion | 12% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| At least 500 billion | 8% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| At least 750 billion | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/303?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-much-government-spending-will-trump-cut-before-his-term-ends-before-2029.

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