---
title: "How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — During Trump's term"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for-during-trumps-term
status: live
kickoff_at: 2029-01-21T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-22T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1754957.95
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:02:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for-during-trumps-term
---

# How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — During Trump's term

Live · kickoff 2029-01-21 00:00 UTC · $1,754,958 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An "Acquisition of Greenland" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the "$0 / No Acquisition" bracket and No for all other brackets.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| $0 / No Acquisition | 89% | 91¢ on Kalshi | 91¢ |
| $300 billion to $599 billion | 2% | 3.3¢ on Kalshi | 3.3¢ |
| $10 billion to $99 billion | 2% | 2.7¢ on Kalshi | 2.7¢ |
| $100 billion to $299 billion | 2% | 2.4¢ on Kalshi | 2.4¢ |
| $1 billion to $9 billion | 1% | 2.3¢ on Kalshi | 2.3¢ |
| $1.2 trillion or more | 0.7% | 0.9¢ on Kalshi | 0.9¢ |
| $900 billion to $1199 billion | 0.7% | 0.9¢ on Kalshi | 0.9¢ |
| $600 billion to $899 billion | — | 3.6¢ on Kalshi | 3.6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/309?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for-during-trumps-term.

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